LIVE · WEEK 1|Martin Luther Burden King92.5Turd Ferguson111.0|Brockalypse Now105.6IT BuckING ErtZ80.6|Buffalo Bill Dozers126.2Orphans at a Bar106.6|White Quarterbacks114.8Deeboz Nutz113.0|5x Champs92.3UnderachievingDelinquents137.5

6 of 10 · Week 1

Projected playoffs

Odds to make the six, from 4,000 sims and 13 weeks left. Thomas can’t trade, and that’s in the model. Top two get a bye. The bracket below is if the season ended today. Official numbers file Tuesday at 6 a.m. ET.

Playoff odds

TeamMake itTitle
1UnderachievingDelinquentsNathan
84.1%
21.5%
2White QuarterbacksMorgan
75.3%
13.6%
3Turd FergusonHolden
72.9%
11.3%
4Brockalypse NowJohn Mitchell
70.6%
12.8%
5Buffalo Bill DozersThomas
57.3%
6.2%
6Deeboz NutzHefner
57.1%
10.2%
7Orphans at a BarGreer · bubble
55.0%
8.6%
85x ChampsMcfussdaddy · bubble
45.1%
6.2%
9Martin Luther Burden KingLucas · bubble
43.6%
5.7%
10IT BuckING ErtZDevyn · bubble
39.0%
4.0%

Red line = six-team field if ranked by these odds. Title column is championship probability, not just the dance.

Bracket · if the season ended today

Round 1

White Quarterbacks (1–0)

Deeboz Nutz (0–1)

75.3% · 57.1% to make it

Turd Ferguson (1–0)

Brockalypse Now (1–0)

72.9% · 70.6% to make it

Semis

Bye · 84.1%

UnderachievingDelinquents

Nathan

Bye · 57.3%

Buffalo Bill Dozers

Thomas

Winners of 3/6 and 4/5 meet the byes.

Championship

Trophy

TBD · Week 17

In today

  1. 1UnderachievingDelinquents84.1%
  2. 2Buffalo Bill Dozers57.3%
  3. 3White Quarterbacks75.3%
  4. 4Turd Ferguson72.9%
  5. 5Brockalypse Now70.6%
  6. 6Deeboz Nutz57.1%

Out today

  1. 7Orphans at a Bar55.0%
  2. 8Martin Luther Burden King43.6%
  3. 95x Champs45.1%
  4. 10IT BuckING ErtZ39.0%